Lord Fed's Gazette

Lord Fed's Gazette

Share this post

Lord Fed's Gazette
Lord Fed's Gazette
The Week Ahead
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

The Week Ahead

Volume 111 - Flip a coin

Lord Fed's avatar
Lord Fed
Sep 16, 2024
∙ Paid
12

Share this post

Lord Fed's Gazette
Lord Fed's Gazette
The Week Ahead
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
2
Share

I had a great week on all fronts last week, from short-term trades to my 20-year position.

I'm going to continue holding the CL Oct 61/69 risk reversal. Last week, I made four max gain spread trades, all of which were held until expiry to capture the maximum gain…

  • On Monday, I shared a 5525/5550 call spread at 7.2.

  • On Wednesday, I shared a 5425/5435 bull put at -5.7.

  • On Thursday, I gave two trades…

    • SPX 5570/5590 call spread at 3.9.

    • MSFT 425/430 call spread at 0.72.

I am keeping this post short and sweet as the Fed rate decision comes on Wednesday. Current Fed Fund pricing, at the time of writing, has a 50bp cut at a 59% probability and a 25bp cut at 41%.


All weekend, my main focus and thought has been about the current rate pricing, which hasn’t made much sense to me.

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Lord Fed
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More